There is a Minuscule Risk (11% - 25%) of Severe Weather across the entire West Michigan Weather Coverage Area today. To the southwest of our coverage area, an Elevated Risk is in place. A highly conditional threat for isolated severe weather impacts is possible today as an upper-level trough produces a deepening cyclone that is forecasted to move into the Great Plains today. The movement of this deepening cyclone will slowly force a warm front through the upper mid-west and lower Great Lakes region later this evening and into tonight. The warm front will meet with a modest low-level jet and the interaction has the potential to initiate convection along and ahead of the warm front.
There is limited potential for thunderstorms to develop across the West Michigan area today and a very small chance that a couple of those storms could be strong to severe.
See SPC Forecast for additional details. This threat will likely not come to fruition and we will likely see only rain showers and a couple of rumbles of thunder throughout tonight.
Forecaster Information: Graphic: Jonah
Discussion: Jonah
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