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All Hazards Severe Weather Threat Possible For West Michigan Tuesday

SPC Day 5 Severe Weather Outlook includes a borad swath of Western lower Michigan in a 15-30% risk for severe weather including all of the Lakeshore counties to the north of Traverse City, as well as portions of  Lake, Newaygo, Montcalm, Mecosta, Kent, Barry, Kalamazoo, Cass, and St. Joseph.

The Storm Prediction Center is now officially highlighting severe weather potential in West Michigan for Tuesday, exactly two weeks after the localized severe weather outbreak West Michigan experienced on Tuesday, May 7th.


This threat for severe weather looks to once again be an "all-hazards" severe threat with the potential for large hail, damaging winds, and perhaps, a few tornadoes.


Currently, there is a relatively high degree of computer weather model variability, which is common at this range, surrounding the threat of severe weather on Tuesday, but there has been a consistent signal of showers and storms moving through a rather robust atmospheric environment that would be conducive for strong to severe thunderstorms.


Timing for severe weather appears to be in the late afternoon through the evening hours at this point but any additional specifics surrounding timing, storm mode, or storm intensity will need to be tabled to future discussions.


The bottom line with this forecast is that severe weather is possible across a large swath of West Michigan on Tuesday, May 21st and people need to stay tuned to the latest forecast and watch for updates from WMIWX.

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